July 4th Subway Series: Yankees at Mets Game Preview

Friday, July 4th, 2025

New York Yankees at New York Mets Preview - July 4, 2025

The New York Yankees take on the New York Mets in MLB action on Friday, July 4, 2025, at Citi Field in New York.

Game Details

Date: Friday, July 4, 2025

Time: 3:10 p.m. EDT

Location: New York

Records: New York Yankees (48-39, second in the AL East) vs. New York Mets (50-38, second in the NL East)

Pitching Matchup

Yankees Probable Starter: Marcus Stroman (1-1, 8.16 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, eight strikeouts)

Mets Probable Starter: Justin Hagenman (0-0, 1.50 ERA, 0.83 WHIP, five strikeouts)

Betting Odds

Mets: -114

Yankees: -105

Over/Under: 9 runs

Team Overview

The New York Mets hold a 50-38 overall record and are strong at home with a 31-13 record. Mets hitters collectively boast a .414 slugging percentage, ranking fourth in the NL.

The New York Yankees have a 48-39 overall record and a 22-22 record on the road. The Yankees have performed well when out-hitting opponents, holding a 37-11 record in such games.

This Friday matchup marks the fourth time these two New York teams will face each other this season.

Top Performers

For the Mets, Pete Alonso has been a key contributor with 25 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs, and 67 RBI, hitting .287. Brandon Nimmo has hit 10 for 39 with a double and two home runs over the last 10 games.

On the Yankees side, Cody Bellinger has recorded 15 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs, and 44 RBI, hitting .269. Jasson Dominguez is coming off a four-hit game and has been hot recently, hitting 16 for 37 with three doubles and a triple over the past 10 games.

Recent Form

Mets: In their last 10 games, the Mets have a 4-6 record with a .233 batting average and a 5.59 ERA, being outscored by 22 runs.

Yankees: In their last 10 games, the Yankees have a 3-7 record with a .246 batting average and a 5.65 ERA, being outscored by 10 runs.

Injuries

Mets Injured List: Dedniel Nunez (elbow), Paul Blackburn (shoulder), Griffin Canning (achilles), Jesse Winker (side), Jose Siri (shin), Max Kranick (elbow), Tylor Megill (elbow), Kodai Senga (hamstring), Brooks Raley (elbow), Danny Young (elbow), A.J. Minter (lat), Sean Manaea (oblique), Nick Madrigal (shoulder), Drew Smith (elbow), Christian Scott (elbow)

Yankees Injured List: Clarke Schmidt (forearm), Fernando Cruz (oblique), Ryan Yarbrough (oblique), Oswaldo Cabrera (ankle), Yerry De Los Santos (elbow), Jake Cousins (elbow), Gerrit Cole (elbow), Luis Gil (back)

In summary

The New York Mets (50-38) host the New York Yankees (48-39) on July 4, 2025, at 3:10 p.m. EDT. The Mets are favored at -114 with Justin Hagenman pitching, while Marcus Stroman starts for the Yankees (-105). The over/under is 9 runs. The Mets feature strong hitting led by Pete Alonso, while Jasson Dominguez has been a recent standout for the Yankees. Both teams are looking to improve their recent 10-game records (Mets 4-6, Yankees 3-7) and are dealing with significant injury lists.

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