Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: ALDS Game 3 Preview, Odds, and Key Matchups (October 7, 2025)

Tuesday, October 7th, 2025

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees: Game 3 ALDS Preview (2025-10-07, 7:08PM)

The Toronto Blue Jays travel to Yankee Stadium to face the New York Yankees in a pivotal Game 3 of the American League Division Series. The Blue Jays currently hold a commanding 2-0 series lead and are just one win away from advancing to the ALCS. Both teams finished the regular season with identical 94-68 records, with the Blue Jays securing the top spot in the AL East and the Yankees finishing a close second.

Weather

Today at Yankee Stadium, expect cool fall temperatures around 60°F under mostly cloudy skies. There is a slight chance of light showers, with precipitation chances near 20%. Winds will be light, blowing from the northwest at 7-10 mph, which could slightly affect fly balls. Overall, it's a pleasant evening for baseball, though players and fans should keep an eye out for intermittent clouds and a possible brief sprinkle.

Pitching Matchup

The Blue Jays will hand the ball to Shane Bieber (4-2, 3.57 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, 37 strikeouts), while the Yankees counter with Carlos Rodon (18-9, 3.09 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 203 strikeouts). This lefty-righty duel promises to set the tone in a must-win game for New York as they try to keep their postseason hopes alive.

Game Odds

The Yankees are favored in this matchup at -148, while the Blue Jays are listed at +124. The over/under is set at 7.5 runs, hinting at a potentially low-scoring, tightly contested affair in the Bronx.

Season and Series History

This is the 16th meeting between these AL East rivals in 2025, with the Blue Jays leading the season series 10-5. The Yankees have utilized their home field to their advantage throughout the year, posting a 50-31 record at Yankee Stadium and a league-leading 274 home runs. The Blue Jays, however, have found success by limiting opponents' power, boasting a 39-17 record when not allowing a home run.

Top Performers

Aaron Judge has been a force for the Yankees, tallying 30 doubles, two triples, 53 home runs, and 114 RBIs this season. In recent games, Ben Rice has also stepped up, going 14-for-38 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, and 11 RBIs over his last 10 outings.

For Toronto, Ernie Clement has provided steady production with 35 doubles, two triples, and nine home runs. Alejandro Kirk has added power, hitting five home runs in his last 10 games along with a double.

Recent Performance

Both teams are coming into Game 3 in strong form, each posting a 7-3 record over their last 10 games. The Yankees have outscored opponents by seven runs in that span with a .250 team batting average and a 4.09 ERA. The Blue Jays have been even stronger offensively, outscoring opponents by 28 runs, batting .267 with a 3.44 ERA.

Injuries

The Yankees remain without Brent Headrick (forearm), Jonathan Loaisiga (back), Clarke Schmidt (forearm), Oswaldo Cabrera (ankle), Jake Cousins (elbow), and Gerrit Cole (elbow).

The Blue Jays continue to miss Jose Berrios (elbow), Ty France (oblique), Chris Bassitt (back), Bo Bichette (knee), Robinson Pina (elbow), Nick Sandlin (elbow), Yimi Garcia (ankle), Bowden Francis (shoulder), Ryan Burr (shoulder), and Angel Bastardo (elbow).

In summary

Game 3 of the ALDS between the Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees promises an exciting and tense matchup at Yankee Stadium. With the Blue Jays leading the series and both teams displaying strong recent form, expect a closely fought contest in prime playoff baseball weather. Key players like Aaron Judge and Ernie Clement are poised to make an impact, while starting pitchers Shane Bieber and Carlos Rodon will be crucial in determining the outcome. Injuries may play a role, but both squads have the talent to produce a memorable October showdown.

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