Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros: Preview, Odds, Pitching Matchup & Prediction for August 11, 2025

Monday, August 11th, 2025

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros: Preview and Key Matchups

The Houston Astros welcome the Boston Red Sox to Daikin Park to kick off a pivotal three-game MLB series. The Astros hold a 66-52 record, leading the AL West, while the Red Sox are close behind at 65-54, ranking second in the AL East. This marks the fourth meeting between these two teams this season, setting the stage for an exciting clash between division contenders.

Pitching Probables

Taking the mound for the Red Sox is Garrett Crochet, who boasts an impressive 13-4 record, a 2.24 ERA, a 1.07 WHIP, and an impressive 183 strikeouts. The Astros counter with Cristian Javier, who is seeking his first decision of the season. With the Red Sox currently favored at -176 and the Astros at +147, oddsmakers project a tight, competitive game, setting the total runs over/under at 7.5.

Weather

Today at Daikin Park, expect hot and sunny conditions with temperatures near 98°F. There's no chance of precipitation, and winds will be light out of the south at 7 mph. Perfect weather for baseball, but be prepared for the heat on the field and in the stands.

Team Breakdowns

The Astros have excelled offensively, backed by the AL’s second-best team batting average at .258 and a strong 35-24 record at home. The Red Sox have found success with their pitching staff, holding the ninth-best team ERA in the majors at 3.74, though they've had more struggles on the road with a 26-32 record away from Fenway.

Top Performers

Jeremy Pena leads the Astros’ attack, carrying a .315 batting average, complemented by 20 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs, 22 walks, and 44 RBI. Jose Altuve has caught fire, going 16 for 41 with four home runs and nine RBI over his last 10 games.

For Boston, Wilyer Abreu paces the lineup with 21 home runs and a .483 slugging percentage. Jarren Duran is a force as well, hitting .325 with three home runs and 10 RBI in his last 10 contests.

Recent Form

In their last 10 games, the Astros are 5-5 with a collective .273 batting average and a 3.41 ERA, outscoring opponents by 13 runs. The Red Sox boast a 7-3 record, with a team batting average of .268, a 3.10 ERA, and a 28-run differential in their favor.

Injury Report

The Astros are dealing with several injuries, including Isaac Paredes (hamstring, 60-Day IL), Brendan Rodgers (oblique, 60-Day IL), Pedro Leon (knee, 60-Day IL), Brandon Walter (elbow, 15-Day IL), Lance McCullers (finger, 15-Day IL), Jake Meyers (calf, 10-Day IL), Zach Dezenzo (hand, 60-Day IL), Yordan Alvarez (hand, 60-Day IL), Shawn Dubin (forearm, 15-Day IL), Ronel Blanco (elbow, 60-Day IL), Hayden Wesneski (elbow, 60-Day IL), Luis Garcia (elbow, 60-Day IL), Cristian Javier (elbow, 60-Day IL), and J.P. France (shoulder, 60-Day IL).

The Red Sox are also missing key players, with Luis Guerrero (elbow, 60-Day IL), Tanner Houck (flexor, 60-Day IL), Hunter Dobbins (ACL, 60-Day IL), Marcelo Mayer (wrist, 10-Day IL), Liam Hendriks (hip, 60-Day IL), Justin Slaten (shoulder, 60-Day IL), Josh Winckowski (elbow, 60-Day IL), Triston Casas (knee, 60-Day IL), Kutter Crawford (knee, 60-Day IL), and Patrick Sandoval (elbow, 60-Day IL) all sidelined.

In summary

The Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros open a highly anticipated series as both teams

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